Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.103412 11.543338 13.067556 14.796256 16.697403 18.719463 21.027647
2025-06-08 8.053457 10.044484 12.291388 14.994861 18.138608 21.658254 25.875007
2025-06-15 6.925382 9.346191 12.236825 15.894842 20.349727 25.547538 32.015775
2025-06-22 5.727836 8.355712 11.670129 16.068396 21.656324 28.421346 37.124304
2025-06-29 4.550766 7.190826 10.709429 15.600882 22.071566 30.180015 40.933622
2025-07-06 3.600364 6.166659 9.778878 15.030257 22.245644 31.578513 44.301178
2025-07-13 3.218020 5.887804 9.814411 15.726798 24.090615 35.170926 50.587973
2025-07-20 3.002167 5.821650 10.129524 16.812508 26.499530 39.588449 58.106496
2025-07-27 2.772279 5.692729 10.323181 17.713990 28.674941 43.758733 65.428611
2025-08-03 2.422600 5.305609 10.068117 17.908584 29.824747 46.543595 70.951070
2025-08-10 2.019637 4.755492 9.484765 17.535975 30.096146 48.081250 74.779977
2025-08-17 1.705488 4.312797 9.022160 17.298137 30.526874 49.827621 78.919020
2025-08-24 1.456995 3.961784 8.688884 17.258294 31.280962 52.108390 83.955116
2025-08-31 1.231827 3.615168 8.321421 17.125423 31.872146 54.162974 88.728254
2025-09-07 1.146396 3.559386 8.483384 17.903445 33.943315 58.487274 96.916927
2025-09-14 0.991534 3.311695 8.248882 17.963277 34.844166 61.065823 102.610139
2025-09-21 0.798059 2.922790 7.684489 17.377740 34.635479 61.921639 105.754223
2025-09-28 0.631249 2.555069 7.109659 16.713421 34.239247 62.447453 108.390034
2025-10-05 0.591277 2.531714 7.266647 17.442607 36.259148 66.831763 116.987344
2025-10-12 0.583222 2.601741 7.635597 18.601670 39.069083 72.545166 127.743306
2025-10-19 0.561513 2.625135 7.899699 19.565911 41.566939 77.816379 137.922882
2025-10-26 0.495998 2.492151 7.787934 19.769856 42.715879 80.932960 144.824013
2025-11-02 0.407271 2.252685 7.392287 19.363798 42.739860 82.204878 148.861202